Combat Edge Model · Full card

UAE Warriors 74: Oliveira vs Abdueva predictions

Model win probabilities for every bout on UAE Warriors 74: Oliveira vs Abdueva (October 22, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.

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12Total bouts

12Frozen forecasts

4Close matchups

0Model / Elo splits

1Strong model leans

OpenPicks close at start

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Scan every matchup, isolate close calls, or find where the full model and Elo baseline see different winners.

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12 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.

strawweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Michele Oliveira6-1-0

Farida Abdueva8-2-0

Close matchupModel + Elo agree

49%Michele Oliveira51%Farida Abdueva

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 49.4% / 50.6%

featherweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Sylvester Chipfumbu14-6-0

Abdelrahman Essam10-0-0

Strong model leanModel + Elo agree

22%Sylvester Chipfumbu78%Abdelrahman Essam

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 38% / 62%

welterweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Amirchupan Taygibov2-0-0

Karim Labdou1-0-0

Model leanModel + Elo agree

60%Amirchupan Taygibov40%Karim Labdou

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 54% / 46%

bantamweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Lisa Zimmo5-0-0

Gase Sanita5-5-0

Model leanModel + Elo agree

60%Lisa Zimmo40%Gase Sanita

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 61% / 39%

flyweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Bekhzod Abdurakhimov7-1-0

Ata Atdayev7-0-0

Model leanModel + Elo agree

41%Bekhzod Abdurakhimov59%Ata Atdayev

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 44% / 56%

bantamweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Flobater Fares4-0-0

Ruel Pañales6-5-0

Close matchupModel + Elo agree

52%Flobater Fares48%Ruel Pañales

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 61% / 40%

featherweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Jaures Dea13-7-0

Marouane Bellagouit6-4-0

Close matchupModel + Elo agree

54%Jaures Dea46%Marouane Bellagouit

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 59% / 41%

bantamweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Peter Danesoe10-4-0

Farkhod Kudratov6-1-0

Model leanModel + Elo agree

64%Peter Danesoe36%Farkhod Kudratov

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 56% / 45%

middleweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Ayissi Bessala3-0-0

Diego Bandu7-2-0

Model leanModel + Elo agree

39%Ayissi Bessala61%Diego Bandu

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 44% / 56%

bantamweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Rashid Vagabov15-2-0

Marciano Ferreira15-5-0

Model leanModel + Elo agree

67%Rashid Vagabov33%Marciano Ferreira

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 60% / 40%

bantamweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Murad Ibragimov5-1-0

Juscelino Pantoja9-1-0

Close matchupModel + Elo agree

45%Murad Ibragimov55%Juscelino Pantoja

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 40% / 61%

featherweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Sundet Aytkul13-2-0

Maycon Alcino15-8-1

Model leanModel + Elo agree

69%Sundet Aytkul31%Maycon Alcino

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 62% / 39%