Abraham Bably vs Rob Wilkinson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record20-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'3"
74"Reach80"
242 lbsWeight205 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamHybrid Training Centre
What's at stake
Rob Wilkinson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Abraham Bably carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1629
If they lose-12→ 1597
If they win+12→ 1719
If they lose-20→ 1687
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Abraham BablyRob Wilkinson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rob Wilkinson78%
Abraham Bably 22%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Rob Wilkinson a 78% favorite over Abraham Bably in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Rob Wilkinson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1609, a 98-point edge.
Abraham Bably enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Abraham Bably finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Rob Wilkinson 90%.
Rob Wilkinson carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.