Abubakar Nurmagomedov vs Alex Morono
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-4-1Record24-13-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
72"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fightspirit TeamTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1703
If they lose-16→ 1671
If they win+12→ 1698
If they lose-12→ 1674
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Abubakar NurmagomedovAlex Morono
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Abubakar Nurmagomedov57%
Alex Morono 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Abubakar Nurmagomedov a 57% favorite over Alex Morono in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1687 vs 1686), separated by just 1 points.
Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Abubakar Nurmagomedov finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Alex Morono 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.