Abubakar Nurmagomedov vs David Martinez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-4-1Record17-6-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height5'9"
72"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight176 lbs
What's at stake
Abubakar Nurmagomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — David Martinez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1702
If they lose-18→ 1670
If they win+18→ 1659
If they lose-14→ 1627
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Abubakar NurmagomedovDavid Martinez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Abubakar Nurmagomedov70%
David Martinez 30%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Abubakar Nurmagomedov a 70% favorite over David Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Abubakar Nurmagomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1688 to 1641, a 47-point edge.
David Martinez enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Abubakar Nurmagomedov finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, David Martinez 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.