Abubakar Vagaev vs Saygid Izagakhmaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-4-0Record22-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
-Reach74"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fight Club AkhmatTeamAbdulmanap Nurmagomedov School
What's at stake
Saygid Izagakhmaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Abubakar Vagaev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1752
If they lose-11→ 1728
If they win+15→ 1769
If they lose-17→ 1737
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Abubakar VagaevSaygid Izagakhmaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Saygid Izagakhmaev60%
Abubakar Vagaev 40%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Saygid Izagakhmaev a 60% favorite over Abubakar Vagaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Saygid Izagakhmaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1754 to 1739, a 15-point edge.
Abubakar Vagaev enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Abubakar Vagaev finishes 21% of wins inside the distance, Saygid Izagakhmaev 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.