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Combat Edge Intelligence

Abubakar Vagaev vs Saygid Izagakhmaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

25-4-0Record22-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
73"Reach74"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1680 avg Elo · 29 ratedTeamAbdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1729 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

Abubakar Vagaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Saygid Izagakhmaev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Abubakar VagaevNow 1769
If they win+11→ 1780
If they lose-13→ 1756
Saygid IzagakhmaevNow 1733
If they win+13→ 1746
If they lose-11→ 1722

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.80
Sig. strikes / min
1.33
39%
Strike accuracy
59%
2.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.73
60%
Strike defense
59%
4
Takedown avg.
4
0%
Takedown accuracy
40%
71%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Abubakar VagaevSaygid Izagakhmaev
1750202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (16%)
KO/TKO
3 (14%)
1 (4%)
Submission
13 (59%)
20 (80%)
Decision
6 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Abubakar Vagaev53%
Saygid Izagakhmaev 47%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Abubakar Vagaev a 53% favorite over Saygid Izagakhmaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Abubakar Vagaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1769 to 1733, a 36-point edge.

Abubakar Vagaev enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Saygid Izagakhmaev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Abubakar Vagaev finishes 20% of wins inside the distance, Saygid Izagakhmaev 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.