Abubakar Vagaev vs Saygid Izagakhmaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
25-4-0Record22-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
-Reach74"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamAbdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1732 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Abubakar Vagaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Saygid Izagakhmaev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1771
If they lose-13→ 1747
If they win+13→ 1739
If they lose-11→ 1715
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Abubakar VagaevSaygid Izagakhmaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Abubakar Vagaev57%
Saygid Izagakhmaev 43%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Abubakar Vagaev a 57% favorite over Saygid Izagakhmaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Abubakar Vagaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1760 to 1726, a 34-point edge.
Abubakar Vagaev enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Saygid Izagakhmaev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Abubakar Vagaev finishes 20% of wins inside the distance, Saygid Izagakhmaev 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.