Combat Edge Intelligence

Abus Magomedov vs Anderson Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-7-1Record34-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
78"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
UFD GymTeamTeam Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abus MagomedovNow 1717
If they win+12→ 1729
If they lose-12→ 1705
Anderson SilvaNow 1718
If they win+12→ 1730
If they lose-12→ 1706

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1707 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.06
Sig. strikes / min
3.05
49%
Strike accuracy
62%
3.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.05
56%
Strike defense
61%
2.50
Takedown avg.
0.50
0%
Takedown accuracy
78%
100%
Takedown defense
69%
0.58
Submission avg.
0.79

Trajectory

Abus MagomedovAnderson Silva
1700175018002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (48%)
KO/TKO
23 (68%)
8 (28%)
Submission
3 (9%)
7 (24%)
Decision
8 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Abus Magomedov70%
Anderson Silva 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Abus Magomedov a 70% favorite over Anderson Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Anderson Silva's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1717 vs 1718), separated by just 1 points.

Anderson Silva enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Abus Magomedov finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Anderson Silva 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.