Combat Edge Intelligence

Abus Magomedov vs Joe Doerksen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Doerksen
ca

Joe Doerksen

“El Dirte”

51-16-0MiddleweightKOTC

1712Good

Tale of the tape

29-7-1Record51-16-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
78"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
UFD GymTeamCanadian Fighting Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abus MagomedovNow 1717
If they win+12→ 1729
If they lose-12→ 1705
Joe DoerksenNow 1712
If they win+12→ 1724
If they lose-12→ 1700

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.06
Sig. strikes / min
1.27
49%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.23
56%
Strike defense
51%
2.50
Takedown avg.
1.87
0%
Takedown accuracy
32%
100%
Takedown defense
33%
0.58
Submission avg.
2.18

Trajectory

Abus MagomedovJoe Doerksen
1700201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (48%)
KO/TKO
10 (20%)
8 (28%)
Submission
33 (65%)
7 (24%)
Decision
8 (16%)

Combat Edge model read

Abus Magomedov70%
Joe Doerksen 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Abus Magomedov a 70% favorite over Joe Doerksen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1717 vs 1712), separated by just 5 points.

Joe Doerksen enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Abus Magomedov finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Joe Doerksen 84%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.