Combat Edge Intelligence

Abus Magomedov vs Kyle Daukaus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kyle Daukaus
us

Kyle Daukaus

“The D'Arce Knight”

17-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1716Good

Tale of the tape

29-7-1Record17-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
78"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
UFD GymTeamMartinez BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abus MagomedovNow 1718
If they win+12→ 1730
If they lose-12→ 1706
Kyle DaukausNow 1716
If they win+16→ 1732
If they lose-16→ 1700

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.07
Sig. strikes / min
3.32
49%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
56%
Strike defense
43%
2.61
Takedown avg.
2.08
59%
Takedown accuracy
26%
100%
Takedown defense
83%
0.40
Submission avg.
2.08

Trajectory

Abus MagomedovKyle Daukaus
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (48%)
KO/TKO
2 (12%)
8 (28%)
Submission
12 (71%)
7 (24%)
Decision
3 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Abus Magomedov63%
Kyle Daukaus 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Abus Magomedov a 63% favorite over Kyle Daukaus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1718 vs 1716), separated by just 2 points.

Abus Magomedov finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Daukaus 82%.

Abus Magomedov and Kyle Daukaus share 1 common opponent: Michel Pereira.

Abus Magomedov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025
Michel Pereira
WinKO · 2025