Combat Edge Intelligence

Abus Magomedov vs Vitor Belfort

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-7-1Record26-14-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
78"Reach74,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
UFD GymTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abus MagomedovNow 1718
If they win+12→ 1730
If they lose-12→ 1706
Vitor BelfortNow 1719
If they win+12→ 1731
If they lose-12→ 1707

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1754 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.07
Sig. strikes / min
1.59
49%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.83
56%
Strike defense
51%
2.61
Takedown avg.
1.02
59%
Takedown accuracy
60%
100%
Takedown defense
54%
0.40
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Abus MagomedovVitor Belfort
1700175020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (48%)
KO/TKO
18 (69%)
8 (28%)
Submission
3 (12%)
7 (24%)
Decision
5 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Abus Magomedov85%
Vitor Belfort 15%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Abus Magomedov a 85% favorite over Vitor Belfort in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vitor Belfort's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1718 vs 1719), separated by just 1 points.

Abus Magomedov finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Vitor Belfort 81%.

Abus Magomedov carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.