Achilles Estremadura vs Fabrizio Escarrega
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record9-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'1"
40,5"Reach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Ryan's MMA - Checkmat VancouverTeamVictory Fight Club· 1683 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1663
If they lose-24→ 1615
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Achilles EstremaduraFabrizio Escarrega
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Fabrizio Escarrega60%
Achilles Estremadura 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Fabrizio Escarrega a 60% favorite over Achilles Estremadura in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1640), separated by just 1 points.
Achilles Estremadura finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Fabrizio Escarrega 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.