Adam Amado vs Erickson Quinzo
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Adam Amado54%
Erickson Quinzo 46%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Adam Amado a 54% favorite over Erickson Quinzo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Erickson Quinzo's way (47%).
Erickson Quinzo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1538 to 1519, a 19-point edge.
Adam Amado enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Erickson Quinzo enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Adam Amado finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Erickson Quinzo 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
4-4-0Record7-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'8"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
DEFWARTeamBonebreakers MMA· 1610 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Erickson Quinzo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Adam Amado carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1544
If they lose-23→ 1496
If they win+15→ 1553
If they lose-17→ 1521
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1482 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adam AmadoErickson Quinzo