Adam Darby vs Chris Hofmann
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-1-0Record9-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Team RyanoTeamDeftac Philippines
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1654
If they lose-24→ 1606
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1485 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Adam DarbyChris Hofmann
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Adam Darby64%
Chris Hofmann 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Adam Darby a 64% favorite over Chris Hofmann in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Hofmann's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1631), separated by just 1 points.
Adam Darby enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Adam Darby finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Chris Hofmann 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.