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Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Fugitt vs Devin Smyth

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Devin Smyth
us

Devin Smyth

“The Prodigy”

10-4-0WelterweightLFA

1610Solid

Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record10-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
77"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamMurcielago MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adam FugittNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Devin SmythNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.59
Sig. strikes / min
2.60
46%
Strike accuracy
68%
4.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.73
51%
Strike defense
25%
1.83
Takedown avg.
4
25%
Takedown accuracy
27%
50%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Adam FugittDevin Smyth
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
3 (30%)
Submission
5 (50%)
2 (20%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Adam Fugitt and Devin Smyth within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1610), separated by just 0 points.

Adam Fugitt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Adam Fugitt finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Devin Smyth 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.