Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Fugitt vs Matt Brown

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Matt Brown
us

Matt Brown

“The Immortal”

24-19-0WelterweightUFC

1607Solid

Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record24-19-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
77"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamImmortal Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adam FugittNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
Matt BrownNow 1607
If they win+12→ 1619
If they lose-12→ 1595

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.59
Sig. strikes / min
3.76
46%
Strike accuracy
55%
4.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.92
51%
Strike defense
55%
1.83
Takedown avg.
1.68
25%
Takedown accuracy
47%
50%
Takedown defense
64%
0
Submission avg.
1.30

Trajectory

Adam FugittMatt Brown
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
16 (67%)
3 (30%)
Submission
6 (25%)
2 (20%)
Decision
2 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Adam Fugitt60%
Matt Brown 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Adam Fugitt a 60% favorite over Matt Brown in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1607), separated by just 1 points.

Adam Fugitt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Adam Fugitt finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Matt Brown 92%.

Adam Fugitt carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.