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Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Horváth vs Maki Pitolo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Maki Pitolo
us

Maki Pitolo

“Coconut Bombz”

15-12-0Light HeavyweightTUFF

1548Average

Tale of the tape

13-10-0Record15-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
TBDHeight5'9"
TBDReach75"
185 lbsWeight195 lbs
Bacs TeamTeamWest Oahu MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adam HorváthNow 1549
If they win+16→ 1565
If they lose-16→ 1533
Maki PitoloNow 1548
If they win+16→ 1564
If they lose-16→ 1532

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.10
Not available
Strike accuracy
44%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.93
Not available
Strike defense
55%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.24
Not available
Takedown accuracy
53%
Not available
Takedown defense
50%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.75

Trajectory

Adam HorváthMaki Pitolo
15001550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
10 (77%)
Submission
3 (20%)
1 (8%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Maki Pitolo57%
Adam Horváth 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Maki Pitolo a 57% favorite over Adam Horváth in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Adam Horváth's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1549 vs 1548), separated by just 1 points.

Adam Horváth enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Maki Pitolo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Adam Horváth finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Maki Pitolo 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.