Adam Masaev vs Myktybek Orolbai
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-0-0Record16-3-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
-Reach74"
162 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tactical Fight Team· 1555 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamUluu Kyrgyz
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1732
If they lose-16→ 1700
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adam MasaevMyktybek Orolbai
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Myktybek Orolbai54%
Adam Masaev 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Myktybek Orolbai a 54% favorite over Adam Masaev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Adam Masaev's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1716 vs 1715), separated by just 1 points.
Adam Masaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Adam Masaev finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Myktybek Orolbai 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.