Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Masaev vs Myktybek Orolbai

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-0-0Record16-3-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
-Reach74"
162 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tactical Fight TeamTeamUluu Kyrgyz

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adam MasaevNow 1714
If they win+16→ 1730
If they lose-16→ 1698
Myktybek OrolbaiNow 1714
If they win+16→ 1730
If they lose-16→ 1698

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.41
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.70
TBD
Strike defense
29%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
45%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Adam MasaevMyktybek Orolbai
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
9 (75%)
Submission
6 (38%)
1 (8%)
Decision
3 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Adam Masaev and Myktybek Orolbai within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1714 vs 1714), separated by just 0 points.

Adam Masaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Adam Masaev finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Myktybek Orolbai 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.