Adam Milstead vs Bruno Lopes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record14-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
76,0"Reach74"
205 lbsWeight204 lbs
Pittsburgh Fight ClubTeam011 MMA Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Adam MilsteadBruno Lopes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bruno Lopes60%
Adam Milstead 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Bruno Lopes a 60% favorite over Adam Milstead in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1631), separated by just 1 points.
Adam Milstead enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bruno Lopes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Adam Milstead finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Bruno Lopes 79%.
Adam Milstead carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.