Adam Milstead vs Chris de la Rocha
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record5-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
76,0"Reach80,0"
205 lbsWeight243 lbs
Pittsburgh Fight ClubTeamForge Combat Academy
What's at stake
Adam Milstead is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Chris de la Rocha carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1642
If they lose-20→ 1610
If they win+29→ 1581
If they lose-19→ 1533
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Adam MilsteadChris de la Rocha
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Adam Milstead75%
Chris de la Rocha 25%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Adam Milstead a 75% favorite over Chris de la Rocha in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Adam Milstead holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1630 to 1552, a 78-point edge.
Adam Milstead enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Adam Milstead finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Chris de la Rocha 100%.
Chris de la Rocha carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.