Adam Milstead vs Curtis Blaydes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record20-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
76,0"Reach80"
205 lbsWeight256 lbs
Pittsburgh Fight ClubTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Curtis Blaydes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Adam Milstead carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1653
If they lose-9→ 1621
If they win+7→ 1788
If they lose-17→ 1764
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1736 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adam MilsteadCurtis Blaydes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Curtis Blaydes89%
Adam Milstead 11%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Curtis Blaydes a 89% favorite over Adam Milstead in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Curtis Blaydes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1781 to 1630, a 151-point edge.
Adam Milstead enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Adam Milstead finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Curtis Blaydes 65%.
Curtis Blaydes carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.