Adam Milstead vs Raffael Cerqueira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record11-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
76,0"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Pittsburgh Fight ClubTeamCTJ Judo & Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adam MilsteadRaffael Cerqueira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Raffael Cerqueira62%
Adam Milstead 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Raffael Cerqueira a 62% favorite over Adam Milstead in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Adam Milstead's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1629), separated by just 1 points.
Adam Milstead enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Raffael Cerqueira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Adam Milstead finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Raffael Cerqueira 91%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.