Adam Pałasz vs Chase Sherman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record18-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
-Reach78"
261 lbsWeight265 lbs
Rio Grappling WroclawTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569
If they win+12→ 1599
If they lose-12→ 1575
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Adam PałaszChase Sherman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Adam Pałasz56%
Chase Sherman 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Adam Pałasz a 56% favorite over Chase Sherman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chase Sherman's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1587), separated by just 2 points.
Chase Sherman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Adam Pałasz finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Chase Sherman 94%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.