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Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Soldaev vs Jared Gordon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record21-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
-Reach68"
146 lbsWeight156 lbs
WCA Fight Team· 1601 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adam SoldaevNow 1675
If they win+16→ 1691
If they lose-16→ 1659
Jared GordonNow 1675
If they win+12→ 1687
If they lose-12→ 1663

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1702 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
5.64
Not available
Strike accuracy
54%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.14
Not available
Strike defense
56%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.78
Not available
Takedown accuracy
33%
Not available
Takedown defense
60%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Adam SoldaevJared Gordon
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (64%)
KO/TKO
8 (38%)
1 (9%)
Submission
2 (10%)
3 (27%)
Decision
11 (52%)

Combat Edge model read

Adam Soldaev66%
Jared Gordon 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Adam Soldaev a 66% favorite over Jared Gordon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1675 vs 1675), separated by just 0 points.

Jared Gordon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Adam Soldaev finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Jared Gordon 48%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.