Adam Soldaev vs Silvestre Sanchez
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Adam Soldaev56%
Silvestre Sanchez 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Adam Soldaev a 56% favorite over Silvestre Sanchez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1676 vs 1676), separated by just 0 points.
Silvestre Sanchez enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Adam Soldaev finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Silvestre Sanchez 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record10-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
-Reach73"
146 lbsWeight158 lbs
WCA Fight Team· 1601 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamUFC Performance Institute
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adam SoldaevSilvestre Sanchez