Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Yandiev vs Marco Tulio Silva Costa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record11-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fight or DieTeamTeam Paraiba

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adam YandievNow 1659
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643
Marco Tulio Silva CostaNow 1658
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.18
Sig. strikes / min
4.42
8%
Strike accuracy
51%
6.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.78
36%
Strike defense
58%
0
Takedown avg.
1.33
TBD
Takedown accuracy
20%
25%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0.66

Trajectory

Adam YandievMarco Tulio Silva Costa
1650170020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
6 (67%)
Submission
1 (9%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Marco Tulio Silva Costa63%
Adam Yandiev 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marco Tulio Silva Costa a 63% favorite over Adam Yandiev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Adam Yandiev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1658), separated by just 1 points.

Adam Yandiev finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marco Tulio Silva Costa 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.