Adama Diop vs Steven Asplund
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-1-0Record8-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'5"
79"Reach78"
261 lbsWeight261 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1674
If they lose-24→ 1626
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adama DiopSteven Asplund
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Steven Asplund55%
Adama Diop 45%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Steven Asplund a 55% favorite over Adama Diop in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Adama Diop's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1646), separated by just 4 points.
Adama Diop enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Adama Diop finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Steven Asplund 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.