Combat Edge Intelligence

Adlan Amagov vs Jeremiah Wells

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-2-1Record14-4-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamRenzo Gracie Philly· 1735 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adlan AmagovNow 1717
If they win+16→ 1733
If they lose-16→ 1701
Jeremiah WellsNow 1720
If they win+16→ 1736
If they lose-16→ 1704

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.29
Sig. strikes / min
2.35
48%
Strike accuracy
46%
0.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.28
79%
Strike defense
48%
5.84
Takedown avg.
3.06
56%
Takedown accuracy
3%
100%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
1.31

Trajectory

Adlan AmagovJeremiah Wells
17002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (57%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
1 (7%)
Submission
5 (36%)
5 (36%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Jeremiah Wells70%
Adlan Amagov 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jeremiah Wells a 70% favorite over Adlan Amagov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1717 vs 1720), separated by just 3 points.

Adlan Amagov enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Jeremiah Wells enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Adlan Amagov finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Jeremiah Wells 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.