Combat Edge Intelligence

Adrian Luna Martinetti vs Kai Asakura

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-2-0Record22-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
71"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
Entram Gym· 1682 avg Elo · 11 ratedTeamJapan Top Team· 1639 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adrian Luna MartinettiNow 1717
If they win+16→ 1733
If they lose-16→ 1701
Kai AsakuraNow 1719
If they win+12→ 1731
If they lose-12→ 1707

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

11
Sig. strikes / min
2.27
65%
Strike accuracy
33%
7.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.53
48%
Strike defense
52%
3
Takedown avg.
0
43%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Adrian Luna MartinettiKai Asakura
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (24%)
KO/TKO
14 (64%)
6 (35%)
Submission
3 (14%)
7 (41%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Adrian Luna Martinetti and Kai Asakura within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1717 vs 1719), separated by just 2 points.

Adrian Luna Martinetti finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Kai Asakura 77%.

Adrian Luna Martinetti carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.