Combat Edge Intelligence

Adrian Luna Martinetti vs Raufeon Stots

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-2-0Record21-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
71"Reach72"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Entram Gym· 1682 avg Elo · 11 ratedTeamRoufusport· 1700 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adrian Luna MartinettiNow 1717
If they win+16→ 1733
If they lose-16→ 1701
Raufeon StotsNow 1715
If they win+12→ 1727
If they lose-12→ 1703

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

11
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
65%
Strike accuracy
TBD
7.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
48%
Strike defense
TBD
3
Takedown avg.
TBD
43%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Adrian Luna MartinettiRaufeon Stots
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (24%)
KO/TKO
4 (19%)
6 (35%)
Submission
5 (24%)
7 (41%)
Decision
12 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

Adrian Luna Martinetti60%
Raufeon Stots 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Adrian Luna Martinetti a 60% favorite over Raufeon Stots in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1717 vs 1715), separated by just 2 points.

Raufeon Stots enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Adrian Luna Martinetti finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Raufeon Stots 43%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.