Combat Edge Intelligence

Adrian Yanez vs Cody Garbrandt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-6-1Record15-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
70"Reach65"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Metro Fight Club· 1615 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 21 rated

What's at stake

Adrian Yanez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Cody Garbrandt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Adrian YanezNow 1710
If they win+11→ 1721
If they lose-13→ 1697
Cody GarbrandtNow 1671
If they win+13→ 1684
If they lose-11→ 1660

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1708 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.96
Sig. strikes / min
2.79
42%
Strike accuracy
40%
5.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.66
57%
Strike defense
59%
0
Takedown avg.
0.85
0%
Takedown accuracy
23%
75%
Takedown defense
82%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Adrian YanezCody Garbrandt
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (67%)
KO/TKO
11 (73%)
2 (11%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (22%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Adrian Yanez53%
Cody Garbrandt 47%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Adrian Yanez a 53% favorite over Cody Garbrandt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Adrian Yanez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1671, a 39-point edge.

Adrian Yanez finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Cody Garbrandt 73%.

Adrian Yanez and Cody Garbrandt share 1 common opponent: Rob Font.

Adrian Yanez carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2023
Rob Font
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2021