Adrian Yanez vs Ricky Simón
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Ricky Simón56%
Adrian Yanez 44%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Ricky Simón a 56% favorite over Adrian Yanez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1708 vs 1721), separated by just 13 points.
Adrian Yanez finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Simón 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
18-6-1Record22-8-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
70"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Metro Fight Club· 1598 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team Portland· 1662 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1720
If they lose-12→ 1696
If they win+12→ 1733
If they lose-12→ 1709
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1719 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adrian YanezRicky Simón