Adryen Spinks vs Isaiah Metituk
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-2-0Record4-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'10"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight130 lbs
What's at stake
Adryen Spinks is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Isaiah Metituk carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1504
If they lose-26→ 1456
If they win+18→ 1467
If they lose-14→ 1435
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adryen SpinksIsaiah Metituk
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Adryen Spinks60%
Isaiah Metituk 40%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Adryen Spinks a 60% favorite over Isaiah Metituk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Adryen Spinks holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1482 to 1449, a 33-point edge.
Adryen Spinks enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Isaiah Metituk enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Isaiah Metituk 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.