Agustin Barroso vs Kacper Wróbel
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Kacper Wróbel51%
Agustin Barroso 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kacper Wróbel a 51% favorite over Agustin Barroso in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1542 vs 1543), separated by just 1 points.
Agustin Barroso finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Kacper Wróbel 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record3-1-0
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
-Reach-
170 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1566
If they lose-24→ 1518
If they win+24→ 1567
If they lose-24→ 1519
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1493 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Agustin BarrosoKacper Wróbel