Ahejiang Ailinuer vs Jair Perez
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Ahejiang Ailinuer62%
Jair Perez 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ahejiang Ailinuer a 62% favorite over Jair Perez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1648), separated by just 2 points.
Jair Perez enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Ahejiang Ailinuer finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Jair Perez 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
17-4-0Record12-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'10"
72"Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Warriors Fight ClubTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ahejiang AilinuerJair Perez