Combat Edge Intelligence

Ahmad Hassanzada vs Billy Ray Goff

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record9-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'10"
75"Reach72"
157 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamDexter MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ahmad HassanzadaNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Billy Ray GoffNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.16
Sig. strikes / min
8.56
39%
Strike accuracy
46%
4.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.71
38%
Strike defense
59%
2.43
Takedown avg.
2.01
19%
Takedown accuracy
18%
0%
Takedown defense
100%
1.22
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ahmad HassanzadaBilly Ray Goff
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
6 (55%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (9%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Billy Ray Goff60%
Ahmad Hassanzada 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Billy Ray Goff a 60% favorite over Ahmad Hassanzada in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1628), separated by just 1 points.

Ahmad Hassanzada enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Billy Ray Goff enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ahmad Hassanzada finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Billy Ray Goff 78%.

Ahmad Hassanzada carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.