Ahmed El Sisy vs Mohammad Fahmi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record6-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
69"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
Ahmed El Sisy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Mohammad Fahmi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1658
If they lose-27→ 1610
If they win+27→ 1614
If they lose-21→ 1566
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ahmed El SisyMohammad Fahmi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mohammad Fahmi52%
Ahmed El Sisy 48%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Mohammad Fahmi a 52% favorite over Ahmed El Sisy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ahmed El Sisy's way (43%).
Ahmed El Sisy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1637 to 1587, a 50-point edge.
Ahmed El Sisy enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ahmed El Sisy finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Mohammad Fahmi 83%.
Ahmed El Sisy and Mohammad Fahmi share 1 common opponent: Mohsen Mohammadseifi.
Mohammad Fahmi carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2025
WinSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · 2025