Combat Edge Intelligence

Aiemann Zahabi vs Casey Kenney

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record16-4-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
68"Reach70,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Tristar GymTeamRise Combat Sports

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aiemann ZahabiNow 1724
If they win+16→ 1740
If they lose-16→ 1708
Casey KenneyNow 1725
If they win+16→ 1741
If they lose-16→ 1709

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.54
Sig. strikes / min
4.85
48%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.08
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.67
69%
Strike defense
58%
0.12
Takedown avg.
1.09
14%
Takedown accuracy
36%
84%
Takedown defense
61%
0
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Aiemann ZahabiCasey Kenney
1700175020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
2 (14%)
Submission
5 (31%)
6 (43%)
Decision
9 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Aiemann Zahabi63%
Casey Kenney 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aiemann Zahabi a 63% favorite over Casey Kenney in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Casey Kenney's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1724 vs 1725), separated by just 1 points.

Casey Kenney enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Aiemann Zahabi finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Casey Kenney 44%.

Casey Kenney carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.