Combat Edge Intelligence

Aiemann Zahabi vs José Aldo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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José Aldo
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José Aldo

“Junior”

32-10-0BantamweightUFC

1781Great

Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record32-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
68"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Tristar GymTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

José Aldo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Aiemann Zahabi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aiemann ZahabiNow 1724
If they win+19→ 1743
If they lose-13→ 1711
José AldoNow 1781
If they win+10→ 1791
If they lose-14→ 1767

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1747 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.54
Sig. strikes / min
3.62
48%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.08
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.72
69%
Strike defense
61%
0.12
Takedown avg.
0.49
14%
Takedown accuracy
54%
84%
Takedown defense
93%
0
Submission avg.
0.14

Trajectory

Aiemann ZahabiJosé Aldo
1700175018002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
17 (53%)
2 (14%)
Submission
1 (3%)
6 (43%)
Decision
14 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Aiemann Zahabi62%
José Aldo 38%Elo baseline: 42%

The Combat Edge model makes Aiemann Zahabi a 62% favorite over José Aldo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans José Aldo's way (42%).

José Aldo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1781 to 1724, a 57-point edge.

José Aldo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Aiemann Zahabi finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, José Aldo 56%.

Aiemann Zahabi and José Aldo share 2 common opponents: Marlon Vera and Pedro Munhoz.

José Aldo carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2024
Pedro Munhoz
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021
WinDecision (split) · 2025
Marlon Vera
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2020