Ailín Pérez vs Darya Zheleznyakova
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-2-0Record10-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'9"
66"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
The Goat Shed Academy· 1666 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamMMA Factory
What's at stake
Ailín Pérez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Darya Zheleznyakova carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1707
If they lose-19→ 1675
If they win+19→ 1656
If they lose-13→ 1624
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ailín PérezDarya Zheleznyakova
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ailín Pérez63%
Darya Zheleznyakova 37%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Ailín Pérez a 63% favorite over Darya Zheleznyakova in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Ailín Pérez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1694 to 1637, a 57-point edge.
Ailín Pérez enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Ailín Pérez finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Darya Zheleznyakova 50%.
Darya Zheleznyakova carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.