Ailín Pérez vs Darya Zheleznyakova
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record10-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'9"
66"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
The Goat Shed Academy· 1671 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamMMA Factory
What's at stake
Ailín Pérez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Darya Zheleznyakova carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1722
If they lose-20→ 1690
If they win+20→ 1641
If they lose-12→ 1609
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ailín PérezDarya Zheleznyakova
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ailín Pérez65%
Darya Zheleznyakova 35%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Ailín Pérez a 65% favorite over Darya Zheleznyakova in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Ailín Pérez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1621, a 89-point edge.
Ailín Pérez enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Darya Zheleznyakova enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ailín Pérez finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Darya Zheleznyakova 50%.
Darya Zheleznyakova carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.