Combat Edge Intelligence

Ailín Pérez vs Lucia Szabová

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-2-0Record12-0-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'7"
66"Reach-
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
The Goat Shed Academy· 1666 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamHanuman Gym Bratislava

What's at stake

Lucia Szabová is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ailín Pérez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ailín PérezNow 1694
If they win+17→ 1711
If they lose-15→ 1679
Lucia SzabováNow 1726
If they win+15→ 1741
If they lose-17→ 1709

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.88
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
56%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
57%
Strike defense
Not available
4.90
Takedown avg.
Not available
2%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
73%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.17
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Ailín PérezLucia Szabová
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
2 (15%)
Submission
5 (42%)
7 (54%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Ailín Pérez52%
Lucia Szabová 48%Elo baseline: 45%

The Combat Edge model makes Ailín Pérez a 52% favorite over Lucia Szabová in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lucia Szabová's way (45%).

Lucia Szabová holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1726 to 1694, a 32-point edge.

Ailín Pérez enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Lucia Szabová enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Ailín Pérez finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Lucia Szabová 75%.

Ailín Pérez and Lucia Szabová share 1 common opponent: Lucie Pudilová.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Lucie Pudilová
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2026