Ailín Pérez vs Larissa Pacheco
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-2-0Record23-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'8"
66"Reach69.00"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
The Goat Shed AcademyTeamJoao Bastos Team
What's at stake
Larissa Pacheco is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ailín Pérez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1711
If they lose-15→ 1679
If they win+11→ 1723
If they lose-13→ 1699
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ailín PérezLarissa Pacheco
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ailín Pérez60%
Larissa Pacheco 40%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Ailín Pérez a 60% favorite over Larissa Pacheco in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Larissa Pacheco's way (47%).
Larissa Pacheco holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1712 to 1694, a 18-point edge.
Ailín Pérez enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Ailín Pérez finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Larissa Pacheco 83%.
Larissa Pacheco carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.