Combat Edge Intelligence

Ailín Pérez vs Ronda Rousey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-2-0Record13-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'6"
66"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
The Goat Shed AcademyTeamTeam Hayastan

What's at stake

Ronda Rousey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Ailín Pérez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ailín PérezNow 1694
If they win+19→ 1713
If they lose-13→ 1681
Ronda RouseyNow 1751
If they win+13→ 1764
If they lose-19→ 1732

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.10
Sig. strikes / min
4.17
55%
Strike accuracy
53%
1.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.14
56%
Strike defense
44%
4.68
Takedown avg.
6.26
47%
Takedown accuracy
68%
67%
Takedown defense
50%
0.20
Submission avg.
4.82

Trajectory

Ailín PérezRonda Rousey
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
2 (15%)
Submission
10 (77%)
7 (54%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ronda Rousey52%
Ailín Pérez 48%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Ronda Rousey a 52% favorite over Ailín Pérez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Ronda Rousey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1751 to 1694, a 57-point edge.

Ailín Pérez enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Ailín Pérez finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Ronda Rousey 100%.

Ronda Rousey carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.