Combat Edge Intelligence

Aisling Daly vs Ariane Carnelossi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Aisling Daly
ie

Aisling Daly

“Ais the Bash”

16-6-0StrawweightUFC

1626Solid

Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record15-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'2"
64,0"Reach61"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamInside Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aisling DalyNow 1626
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610
Ariane CarnelossiNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.92
Sig. strikes / min
2.63
52%
Strike accuracy
39%
1.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.61
56%
Strike defense
44%
2.15
Takedown avg.
1.08
42%
Takedown accuracy
50%
33%
Takedown defense
23%
0.86
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Aisling DalyAriane Carnelossi
1600165020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
8 (50%)
Submission
2 (14%)
3 (19%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Ariane Carnelossi60%
Aisling Daly 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ariane Carnelossi a 60% favorite over Aisling Daly in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aisling Daly's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1626 vs 1625), separated by just 1 points.

Ariane Carnelossi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Aisling Daly finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Ariane Carnelossi 79%.

Aisling Daly carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.