AJ Dobson vs Alex Polizzi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record11-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
76"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Strong Style Fight TeamTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
AJ DobsonAlex Polizzi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Polizzi65%
AJ Dobson 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Polizzi a 65% favorite over AJ Dobson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans AJ Dobson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1597), separated by just 1 points.
Alex Polizzi enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
AJ Dobson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Alex Polizzi 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.