Combat Edge Intelligence

AJ Dobson vs Jacob Malkoun

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'9"
76"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Strong Style Fight TeamTeamPMA Super Martial Arts

What's at stake

Jacob Malkoun is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — AJ Dobson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

AJ DobsonNow 1598
If they win+20→ 1618
If they lose-12→ 1586
Jacob MalkounNow 1690
If they win+12→ 1702
If they lose-20→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.29
Sig. strikes / min
4.55
46%
Strike accuracy
58%
5.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.36
46%
Strike defense
55%
1.67
Takedown avg.
5.81
75%
Takedown accuracy
41%
65%
Takedown defense
33%
0.28
Submission avg.
0.88

Trajectory

AJ DobsonJacob Malkoun
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
2 (29%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (29%)
Decision
7 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Jacob Malkoun81%
AJ Dobson 19%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Jacob Malkoun a 81% favorite over AJ Dobson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Jacob Malkoun holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1690 to 1598, a 92-point edge.

Jacob Malkoun enters on a 3-fight win streak.

AJ Dobson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Jacob Malkoun 30%.

AJ Dobson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.