AJ McKee Jr. vs Alexander Volkanovski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters → 
Tale of the tape
25-2-0 Record 28-4-0
Lightweight Division Featherweight
5'10" Height 5'6"
73" Reach 71″
155 lbs Weight 145 lbs
Team Bodyshop Team Freestyle Fighting Gym
What's at stake
Alexander Volkanovski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — AJ McKee Jr. carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1852
If they lose-11→ 1828
If they win+11→ 1876
If they lose-13→ 1852
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
AJ McKee Jr. Alexander Volkanovski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
AJ McKee Jr.73%
Alexander Volkanovski27%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes AJ McKee Jr. a 73% favorite over Alexander Volkanovski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexander Volkanovski's way (46%).
Alexander Volkanovski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1865 to 1839, a 26-point edge.
AJ McKee Jr. enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alexander Volkanovski enters on a 2-fight win streak.
AJ McKee Jr. finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Alexander Volkanovski 59%.
AJ McKee Jr. carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.