AJ McKee Jr. vs Movsar Evloev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-2-0Record20-0-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
73"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team BodyshopTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Movsar Evloev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — AJ McKee Jr. carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1852
If they lose-11→ 1828
If they win+15→ 1870
If they lose-17→ 1838
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
AJ McKee Jr.Movsar Evloev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting AJ McKee Jr. and Movsar Evloev within a point of even.
Movsar Evloev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1855 to 1839, a 16-point edge.
AJ McKee Jr. enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Movsar Evloev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
AJ McKee Jr. finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Movsar Evloev 35%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.