AJ McKee Jr. vs Salamat Isbulaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-3-0Record10-1-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
73"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Bodyshop· 1650 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamErkin Kush· 1701 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
AJ McKee Jr. is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Salamat Isbulaev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1842
If they lose-16→ 1818
If they win+22→ 1729
If they lose-10→ 1697
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1715 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
AJ McKee Jr.Salamat Isbulaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
AJ McKee Jr.81%
Salamat Isbulaev 19%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes AJ McKee Jr. a 81% favorite over Salamat Isbulaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
AJ McKee Jr. holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1834 to 1707, a 127-point edge.
AJ McKee Jr. finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Salamat Isbulaev 100%.
AJ McKee Jr. carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.