Akbarjon Islomboev vs Fernando Padilla
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record16-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height6'1"
70.5"Reach76"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
TeamTeam Oyama· 1645 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
If they win+16→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Akbarjon IslomboevFernando Padilla
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Akbarjon Islomboev61%
Fernando Padilla 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Akbarjon Islomboev a 61% favorite over Fernando Padilla in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fernando Padilla's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1673), separated by just 1 points.
Akbarjon Islomboev finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Fernando Padilla 88%.
Fernando Padilla carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.