Akhmed Amaev vs Luke Shanks
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-0-0Record10-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'5"
-Reach68"
135 lbsWeight130 lbs
What's at stake
Akhmed Amaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Luke Shanks carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1643
If they lose-27→ 1595
If they win+18→ 1589
If they lose-14→ 1557
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Akhmed AmaevLuke Shanks
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Akhmed Amaev59%
Luke Shanks 41%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Akhmed Amaev a 59% favorite over Luke Shanks in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Akhmed Amaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1622 to 1571, a 51-point edge.
Akhmed Amaev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Luke Shanks enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Akhmed Amaev finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Luke Shanks 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.