Akhmed Gakiev vs Devin Smyth
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record10-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
157 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1680 avg Elo · 29 ratedTeamMurcielago MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Akhmed GakievDevin Smyth
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Devin Smyth62%
Akhmed Gakiev 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Devin Smyth a 62% favorite over Akhmed Gakiev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1610), separated by just 1 points.
Akhmed Gakiev enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Akhmed Gakiev finishes 17% of wins inside the distance, Devin Smyth 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.